Figures
released by the Bank of England, show that for the first half of 2016,
£128.73bn was lent by UK banks to buy UK property - impressive when you
consider only £106.7bn was lent in the first half of 2015. Even more
interesting, was that most of the difference was in Q2, as £68.12bn was lent by
UK banks in new mortgages for house purchase, which is the
highest it has been for two years. Looking locally, in Burgess Hill last quarter,
£624m was loaned on RH15 properties alone!
Even though the Bank won’t be releasing
the Q3 figures until December 2016, as I discussed a few weeks ago, HMRC have
published their own preliminary data to suggest Q3 will be even better, with a
massive growth of buy-to-let landlords to the housing market in that time frame.
Fascinating, as it seems to fly in the face of the popular narrative – that the
uncertainty surrounding Brexit would negatively impact buyer sentiment.
And
it’s not just buy-to-let landlords that seem to be flourishing. I am finding
that first-time buyers are also a lot more confident too. Low, and now negative,
inflation has had a tangible impact on household finances and first-time buyers
feel more secure in their jobs. Coupled with a low interest rate environment
and you have all the ingredients for a strengthening property market. To back
that up with numbers, of the £68.12bn of mortgages lent in the
Quarter (Q2), £14.9bn was lent to first-time buyers (the highest proportion of that
overall lending for over two years at 21.99%).
When I looked at the data for Mid
Sussex District Council area, the average price paid by first-time buyers (FTB’S)
was £274,874, which is a rise of 1.98% from last month and a rise of 15.38% to
twelve months ago. The Land Registry then categorise the remaining buyers into
cash buyers or those buying with a mortgage. The average price paid by cash buyers
was £341,676, a rise of 1.85% from last month and a rise of 15.18% to twelve
months ago, whilst buyers with mortgages (but not FTB’s), the average price
paid by them was £366,478, a rise of 1.88% from last month and a rise of 15.36%
to twelve months ago.
What surprised me with these figures
was how close the property prices, values and percentages were to each other. It
just goes to show the combination of low mortgage rates and a stable job market
will continue to have a positive effect on the Burgess Hill and UK market. And that is why, while there is undoubtedly more cautiousness
in the market at present than a year or so ago (among borrowers and mortgage
companies alike) - mortgage rates are so competitive that they are inducing
people to commit to a home purchase.
It seems the great Brexit uncertainty
was over hyped, and house price growth as well as mortgage approvals, could
pick up pace into 2017.