A little bit of good news this week on
the Mid Sussex Property Market as recently released data shows that the number
of first time buyers taking out their first mortgage in 2017 increased more than
in any other year since the global financial crisis in 2009. Looking at Burgess
Hill, the data shows there were 146 first time buyers
in the town, the largest number since 2006.
I expect in 2018 that this increase of first time buyers will
level out and maybe dip slightly as, nationally, figures demonstrate that first
time buyer’s average household income was £40,691 and this represented 17.3% of
their take home pay. Although, it might surprise readers that it is actually
cheaper to buy than it is to rent at the ‘starter home’ end of the housing
market. Many of you can remember mortgage rates at 12% and even 15%! Today, at
the time of writing this article, I found on the open market, 189 first time
buyer mortgages at 95% (meaning only a 5% deposit was required) with 3 year
fixed rates from a reputable High Street bank at 2.49%, they even did a 3 year
fixed rate 100% mortgage for 2.89%!
Interestingly, looking at the other end of the market, the
buy-to-let investment in Burgess Hill was subdued, with only 30 buy-to-let properties
being purchased with a mortgage. However, I must stress, whilst there is no
hard and fast data on the total numbers of landlords buying buy-to-let, as HM
Treasury believes only 30% to 40% of buy-to-let property is bought with a
mortgage. This means there would have been further cash only buy-to-let
purchases in Burgess Hill – it’s just that the data isn’t available at such a
granular level.
This is pleasing to see, as new mortgage debt is created by
first time buyers, buy-to-let landlords and home movers themselves, that is being
roughly equalled by the amount being paid off with mature mortgaged homeowners
in their 50’s and 60’s finally paying off their mortgage.
So, what does all this
mean for the Burgess Hill Property Market?
Well, the stats paint a picture, but they don’t inform us of the whole
story. The upper end of the Burgess Hill property market has been weighed down by the indecision around the
Brexit negotiations and rise in stamp duty in 2014, when made it considerably
more expensive to buy a home costing more than £1m. The middle part of the Burgess
Hill property market has been affected by issues of mortgage affordability and
lack of good properties to buy, as selling prices have reached the limit of
what buyers can afford under existing mortgage regulations. The lower to middle
Burgess Hill property market was hit by tax changes for buy-to-let landlords,
although this has been offset by the increase in first time buyers.
If you are in the
market and selling now and want to ensure you get your Burgess Hill property
sold, the bottom line is you have to be 100% realistic with your pricing from
day one and you might not get as much as you did say a year ago (but the one you want to buy will be less –
swings and roundabouts?). I know it’s not comfortable hearing that your Burgess
Hill home isn’t worth as much as you thought, but Burgess Hill buyers are now unbelievably
discerning.