Some commentators are saying buy to let is
about to die, with the new stamp duty changes and how mortgage tax relief will be
calculated. Some say 500,000 rental properties will flood the market nationally
in the next 12 months as landlords leave the rental market. Have you heard the
phrase ‘Bad news sells newspapers’? Let me explain why buy to let in Haywards
Heath is only going in one direction – and not the direction the papers say
they are going.
According to Sheffield University, buy to let
landlords will continue fueling the growth of the private rented sector in the
coming decades. By their estimates (and they are considered a centre of
excellence on the topic), the rate of home ownership nationally will fall to 50%
(today it is 71.7% in Haywards Heath) by 2032, while the rate of private sector
renting will increase to 35% (interestingly, in Haywards Heath it stands at 15.8%
today).
Therefore, the demand for rental accommodation in Haywards Heath
will grow by 470 households in the next five years, and these are the reasons
why, irrespective of the distractions set out in the newspapers
Haywards Heath property values over the last six years
have risen a lot more than average wages/salaries, meaning as home ownership and
mortgage availability is dependent on your ability to pay has served to push
home ownership further out of reach for many, at a time when the stock of council
houses has actually withered. (Nationally,
the number of council houses in the last ten years has dropped from 3.16m to
2.18m households - a drop of 31.1%).
Now it’s true the Tory’s efforts to fix the deficiency
of affordable housing have focused on those who want to buy a home, ranging
from Help to Buy and their much vaunted Help to Buy Isa, and Starter Homes Scheme,
an initiative offering a 20% discount for first time buyers. But if you are
unable to save for the deposit none of this means anything to the ‘20 something’s’ of Haywards Heath and
they still need a roof over their heads!
Currently, 5,022 people live in
private rented accommodation in Haywards Heath
These are big numbers and a sizeable chunk of the
electorate. So whilst it appears Haywards Heath “Generation Rent” youngsters
will continue to rent and to not to buy for the reasons set out above, Haywards
Heath buy-to-let landlords will be lifted by the projections of greater rental
demand. Haywards Heath and the area around it still offers the prospect of strong
economic growth forecasts and has a reputation as a desirable place
to live.
So, by 2021, the number of rental
properties in Haywards Heath will rise to 3,233
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