I had
an interesting chat with a Lindfield landlord who owns a few properties in the town. He popped his
head in to my office as his wife was shopping in the area (and let’s be honest
talking about the Haywards Heath Property Market is a lot more interesting than
clothes shopping!). We had never spoken before (because he uses another agent
in the town to manage his Haywards Heath properties) yet after reading my blog
on the Haywards Heath Property Market for a while the landlord wanted to know
my thoughts on how the recent interest rate cut would affect the Haywards Heath
property market and I would also like to share these thoughts with you.
Well
it’s been a few weeks now since interest rates were cut to 0.25% by the Bank of England as the Bank
believed Brexit could lead to a materially lower path of growth for the UK,
especially for the manufacturing and construction industries. You see for the
country as a whole, the manufacturing and construction industries are still performing
well below the pre-credit crunch levels of 2008/09, so the British economy
remains highly susceptible to an economic shock. This is especially important
in Haywards Heath, because even though we have had a number of local success
stories in manufacturing and construction, a large number of people are
employed in these sectors. In Haywards Heath, of the 17,516 people who have a
job, 760 are in the manufacturing industry and 1,048 in Construction meaning;
4.3% of Haywards Heath workers
are employed in the Manufacturing sector and 6% of Haywards Heath workers are
in Construction
The other
sector of the economy the Bank is worried about, and an equally important one
to the Haywards Heath economy, is the Financial Services industry. Financial
Services in Haywards Heath employ 1,845 people, making up 10.5% of the Haywards
Heath working population.
Together
with a cut in interest rates, the Bank also announced an increase in the quantity of money via
a new programme of Quantitative Easing to buy £70bn of Government and Private Bonds.
Now that won’t do much to the Haywards Heath property market directly, but another
measure also included in the recent announcement was £100bn of new funding to
banks. This extra £100bn will help the High St banks pass on the base rate cut
to people and businesses, meaning the banks will have lots of cheap money to
lend for mortgages which will have a
huge effect on the Haywards Heath property market (as that £100bn would be
enough to buy half a million homes in the UK).
It will
take until early in the New Year to find out the real direction of the Haywards
Heath property market and the effects of Brexit on the economy as a whole, the
subsequent recent interest rate cuts and the availability of cheap mortgages. However, something bigger than
Brexit and interest rates is the inherent under supply of housing (something I
have spoken about many times in my blog and the specific effect on Haywards
Heath). The severe under supply means that Haywards Heath property prices are
likely to increase further in the medium to long term, even if there is a dip
in the short term. This only confirms what every homeowner and landlord has
known for decades; investing in property is a long term project and as an
investment vehicle, it will continue to outstrip other forms of investment due
to the high demand for a roof over people’s heads and the low supply of new
properties being built.
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