Roll
the clock back 35 years to 1981, and Mrs. T was in power, we had a Royal
Wedding, Britain won the Ashes and Bucks Fizz won Eurovision with ‘Making your
Mind up’. Haven’t things changed. The number of homeowners and property
investors who said they wish they had hindsight and bought up every house in
Mid Sussex all those years ago, especially when you consider what has happened
to Mid Sussex property values, as Mid Sussex Property Values since 1981 have
risen by 942%.
Not
bad when you consider inflation over the same time period has been 271.9%,
meaning in real terms (i.e. after inflation), property values in Mid Sussex are
670.1% higher. It’s no wonder people
can’t afford to buy property anymore and landlords are attracted by bricks and
mortar. Yet the changes to the Mid Sussex Property market run much deeper than
property value changes as no one could have predicted how the property market
has changed in Mid Sussex over the last 30 years.
Looking
at the Local Authority data for Mid Sussex District Council in 1981, 16.6% of
Mid Sussex people lived in a Council House, whilst today its 10.6%, a massive drop which can mostly be attributed
to Margaret Thatcher allowing Council tenants the right to buy their Council
House. The private rental sector since
1981 has, as one would have expected, also changed.
Nationally
they’ve almost doubled, HOWEVER, the proportion of properties privately rented
in the Mid Sussex area (i.e. through a private landlord or a letting agency)
may not have doubled, but they have seen an increase rising from 10% to 12.8%
of property.
So,
let us consider those people who own their own home, surely that has had a
massive drop? In 1981, the proportion of
people who lived in the Mid Sussex District Council area who owned their own
home was 73.2% and today its 74.3%. Not the seismic change most of you were
expecting (including myself!).
Home-ownership
in the 1980’s and 1990’s in Mid Sussex did in fact rise, but as I have
discussed in previous articles in the ‘Mid Sussex Property Market Blog’, that
was because nearly every Council tenant was buying their council house. Now
there are hardly any Council houses for the younger generation to move into
(because of the right to buy scheme) so they have no choice but to privately
rent.
And
this is why the buy to let market in Mid Sussex is an investment sector that
will continue to grow as councils aren’t building council houses in their
thousands each year (like they were in the 1950’s/60’s and 70’s). The Mid Sussex property market is constantly
changing and buy to let for too long has been heavily dependent on house price
growth, where yield has been almost forgotten.
I see the changes in tax and landlord and tenant law in a different
perspective to the sooth-sayers and see it as bringing many opportunities where
yield will become more important. You
might need to change your buy to let targets, your methodology to financing or
even consider places other than Mid Sussex in which to invest your money, but
this will shine a light on investing in properties with healthier yields and
create more realistic long term buy to let opportunities, instead of short term
growth bets and wagers.
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