I have been doing some
research, looking both at National and Regional reports on the demand and
supply of property and people together with future projections on the economy,
population and family demographics with some interesting results. According to
the Office of National Statistics, in the last financial year nationally, private
renting grew by 74,000 households, whilst the owner occupied dwelling stock
increased by 101,000 and social (aka council and housing association) stock
increased by 12,000 dwellings.
It was the
private rental figures that caught my eye. With
eight or nine years of recovery since the Credit Crunch, economic recovery and
continuing low interest rates have done little to setback the mounting need for
rented housing. In fact, with house
price inflation pushing upwards much quicker than wage growth, this has meant
to make owning one’s home even more out of reach for many Millennials, all at a
time when the number of council/social housing has shrunk by just over 2.5%
since 2003, making more households move into private renting.
There are 5,022 people living in 2,293 privately
rented
properties in Haywards Heath.
In the next nine years, looking at the future
population growth statistics for the Haywards Heath area and making careful and
moderate calculations of what proportion of those extra people due to live in Haywards
Heath will rent as opposed to buy, in the next ten years, 2,152 people (adults and children combined) will
require a private rented property to live in.
Therefore, the number of Private Rented homes in Haywards Heath will need to rise by 983
households over the next nine years,
That’s 109 additional Haywards
Heath properties per year that will need to be bought by Haywards Heath
landlords, for the next nine years to meet that demand; and remember, I am being conservative (with a small
‘c’) with those calculations, as demand for privately rented homes in Haywards
Heath could still rise more abruptly than I have predicted as I would ask if Theresa
May’s policies of building 400,000 affordable homes (which would syphon in this
5-year Parliamentary term) is rather optimistic, if not fanciful?
So, one has to ask wonder if it was wise to introduce
a buy to let stamp duty surcharge of 3% and the constraint on mortgage tax
relief could curtail and hold back the ability of private landlords to expand
their portfolios?
I have a steady stream of Mid Sussex landlords every week asking me my opinion on the future of the Mid Sussex property market and their individual future strategy and, whether you are a landlord of mine or not, if you ever want to send me an email or pop into my office to chat on how you could navigate these new Buy to Let waters it will be good to speak to you (because you wouldn’t want other landlords to have an advantage over you – would you?)
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